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2024-12-14 00:19:48

This morning, A shares opened sharply lower and walked lower. Yesterday was sunny, but today the situation changed suddenly, which made people unprepared. Fortunately, I have been reminding everyone of the risks these two days. Why did A shares suddenly change face today? When will the adjustment end? Let me say a few personal opinions.The FTSE A50 index and Hang Seng Index, which are closely related to A-shares this morning, all showed a sharp decline trend. The biggest decline today is the best big consumption concept that has risen in the past two days. This sector is dominated by northbound funds, and the main force of today's decline is the insurance, liquor and new lithium scenery with heavy northbound funds. The insurance sector fell by more than 3%, liquor by 2.34%, and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited by 2.3%. These varieties were the main attraction in the past two days, and they turned against each other today.The decline of oil and coal in the left hand of the main force is less than that of the above-mentioned northbound heavy warehouse varieties, but the decline is mostly over 1%, and the decline of the securities sector is over 2%. These varieties are more active recently.


Third, the biggest difference between this trend and 3509 points in November is the time.Here's a hint: If the main A-shares do the tail market pull-up in the afternoon, you'd better keep calm and lose profitable positions, because they are still doing the midday closing price, then there will be another wave of diving in the afternoon, and then do the tail market pull-up. This is their old routine, and everyone should pay close attention to it.In yesterday's article, I emphasized that on Wednesday and Thursday, the trend is to attract more people, that is, I hope fans and friends can be vigilant and avoid a big shock in the market.


Let's look back at the bull trap launched on November 4th. After it surged on November 8th, it took only one day to attract more, and then it began to pull back. This time, it took two days, which was the extra day to attract more, and then ignited the enthusiasm of retail investors. This morning, A shares directly opened lower and went lower, basically trapping the funds for chasing higher prices in the previous three days. It can be seen that retail investors with heavy positions at present are a common phenomenon. What is risk? This is the real risk.This morning, the one-hour net outflow of the main funds of the A-share market and the A-share market was 48.3 billion yuan, which was a drop in volume, which was complementary to the recent turnover of A-shares. Yesterday, the main funds of the tail market rallied to create turnover, otherwise, no one would believe yesterday's rise.

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